Le unemployment insurance manager anticipates a sharp rise in the number of job seekers in 2013 and of its deficit.
Après satisfaction (not quite) general caused by the success of the negotiations on employment, on Friday, back to reality. Unedic, which manages the finances of the unemployment insurance, delivered Monday pessimistic forecasts for 2013: finances should be in tune with the job in 2013, is frankly in the red, Due to the almost zero growth to which await économistes.
Pour accounts do indeed Unedic does not rely on the government forecast a 0.8% less credible, but the figure of 0.1% including retained by INSEE. Suffice to say that the activity will remain stable in 2013, which will not reverse rising unemployment since nineteen months consécutifs.
L'institution expects enrollment to 185,500 additional job center in category A (no activity), after 295,000 in 2012. A downturn, then, but not a drop: the total number of job seekers Class A would amount to about 3.3 million. The number of job seekers compensated him increase of approximately 180,000, resulting in an increase of 8% spending Insurance chômage.
Dans the same time, the latter situation would deteriorate the revenue side, because of job losses, but also the low ProgresSon payroll, which is supported on its income. The accumulated deficit of the unemployment insurance would therefore increase by nearly 34% to € 18.6 billion at year-end .
Evolution balance and accumulated deficit Unedic (Click on image to enlarge. Unedic Source)
Ces forecasts do not include, however, the potential effects of recent measures or future: in particular the tax credit of 20 billion euros granted to companies, or (...) Read more about
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