Occupation: estimates of black Unedic

Le unemployment insurance manager anticipates a sharp rise in the number of job seekers in 2013 and of its deficit.

Après satisfaction (not quite) general caused by the success of the negotiations on employment, on Friday, back to reality. Unedic, which manages the finances of the unemployment insurance, delivered Monday pessimistic forecasts for 2013: finances should be in tune with the job in 2013, is frankly in the red, Due to the almost zero growth to which await économistes.

Pour accounts do indeed Unedic does not rely on the government forecast a 0.8% less credible, but the figure of 0.1% including retained by INSEE. Suffice to say that the activity will remain stable in 2013, which will not reverse rising unemployment since nineteen months consécutifs.

L'institution expects enrollment to 185,500 additional job center in category A (no activity), after 295,000 in 2012. A downturn, then, but not a drop: the total number of job seekers Class A would amount to about 3.3 million. The number of job seekers compensated him increase of approximately 180,000, resulting in an increase of 8% spending Insurance chômage.

Dans the same time, the latter situation would deteriorate the revenue side, because of job losses, but also the low ProgresSon payroll, which is supported on its income. The accumulated deficit of the unemployment insurance would therefore increase by nearly 34% to € 18.6 billion at year-end .

Evolution balance and accumulated deficit Unedic (Click on image to enlarge. Unedic Source)

Ces forecasts do not include, however, the potential effects of recent measures or future: in particular the tax credit of 20 billion euros granted to companies, or (...) Read more about

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Mali: NGOs cautioned against extortion and représailles

Après denouncing the abuses of Islamists in northern Mali, NGOs fear now, in the light of the first testimonies of reprisals by the Malian army, humiliated by its defeat and not prepared to respect the rights Human .

Human Rights Watch (HRW) also discussed the plight of child soldiers recruited by Islamist fighters, injured or killed during ongoing clashes between armed groups and the Malian army, supported by the French, as well as death of civilians Konna (center), victims combats.

La International Federation of Human Rights (FIDH) working with the Malian Association of Human Rights, including well established in the North, has reported recent arrests and ten cases of enforced disappearances or summary executions Sévaré (center) where the Malian army has a command post opérationnel.

"Nine of these cases of disappearances or executions have not been confirmed but that of a missing man, probably summarily executed for his alleged affiliation with armed groups, is considered certain," he told AFP Florent Geel, head of the Africa FIDH.

L'AFP also heard the testimony of a resident of a village near Sévaré who requested anonymity, witnessed Saturday Malian army camp Sévaré, the execution of a policeman and his two son of 20 and 25 years, suspected indicators islamistes.

Florent Geel also reports of arrests at checkpoints set up Sévaré Konna Mopti and to prevent infiltration of Islamists to the south and intercept weapons. "A number of people are currently held by the Malian forces Sévaré. Under what conditions are they being held? For the moment, we do not have access to them," laments Mr. Geel.

Celui said it also feared the reactions of local militias that have been singled out as a result of summary executions this été.

Revanche on Touareg?

"The big problem, says Mr. Geel is that black people and especially Songhai want to take revenge on the people and Tuareg Tuareg armed groups in North and we know that all who pass by the reconquest highlighting of Malian forces could lead to more or less massive retaliation on the people ".

"It may slip at any time and it can be extremely lethal, extremely violent," Mr. fears Geel.

La FIDH also quotes local sources according to which the Tuareg and Arab populations have fled the city for fear of représailles.

"The Tuareg are scared and they are not wrong. There is a high risk that if the Malian army valiantly North restarts, it degenerates," adds Pierre Boilley, director of the Center for the Study of African worlds (CEMAF ) .

"What will happen when cities will be reoccupied (by Malian forces and / or African). How will they distinguish the rebels, Islamists, people?" Asked Alain Antil, Institute French relations internationales.

La France has deployed some 800 soldiers in Mali, said Wednesday that she "would do anything" to prevent violations of human rights, but recalled that the responsibility to protect civilians primarily incumbent authorities maliennes.< / p>

Mais, is the FIDH, the Malian forces are already fighting and without having received awareness training in respect for the rule of law. "This link-there is not yet in place due to the precipitation (intervention) and that worries us," insists Mr. Geel.

"We told the French and Malians. Says the French are because even if they do not handle on everything and they can not control everything, it will fall over them one way or another "dit-il.